Ad budget
It's the 12th and you're $40K behind plan.
The pace gap tells you the daily revenue you need. Ladder up Meta or Google spend on the channel with the best 7-day ROAS - and check the new pace tomorrow morning.
Forecasting & Goals
Know by Wednesday whether you'll hit the month.
Set a Shopify revenue goal. By the Numbers compares your daily pace to a machine-learned forecast and tells you the truth - every morning, in one number - so you can course-correct while there's still month left to spend.
60-second install · 14 days free · No card, no auto-charge
5.0 from 100+ reviews on the Shopify App Store
Last 30 days · Apr 5 – May 4Compare: No comparisonSegment: All Customers
Monthly Revenue · Pace vs Goal
Pace
On track
Forecast
£32.4K
Goal
£35K
Goal £1.5K/day
Daily
Pace check
Are you on track today?
W/M/Q/Y
Goal cadences
Set them all, track them all
ML
Forecast model
Trained on your store's seasonality
Replace ‘feels like a slow week’ with a number.
A goal without a pace check is a guess. By the Numbers turns your monthly target into a daily run-rate, factors in your weekday seasonality, and tells you if today's revenue puts you ahead or behind - before the month is too far gone to fix.
- Set goals weekly, monthly, quarterly, or yearly
- Pace bar shows ahead / on-track / behind in one glance
- ML forecast accounts for weekday and seasonal patterns
- Email alerts when pace slips below threshold
Goal Progress
Monthly Revenue78%
$27.4KTarget: $35K
New Customers68%
342Target: 500
Repeat Rate85%
34%Target: 40%
ML Prediction
On track to hit 2/3 goals this month
The forecast updates as the world changes - so do your decisions.
Holiday spike? Backorder? New product launch? The model retrains nightly on your latest data, so the forecast you wake up to is the one that reflects yesterday's reality - not last quarter's.
- Nightly retraining on the previous day's orders
- Anomaly detection flags days that look unlike your typical pattern
- Forecast confidence bands so you know how much to trust the number
Use it when
Three forecasting decisions this week
Inventory
A SKU is selling 30% above forecast.
Anomaly detection flags it on day 3, not day 23. Reorder before stockout instead of explaining the shortage on the next ops call.
Cash flow
You need to commit to Q4 inventory spend.
Quarterly forecast with confidence bands gives finance a range to plan against - not a single optimistic number that breaks the second a campaign underperforms.
“By the Numbers has been a game-changer for our forecasting. We can set goals and actually track our pace in real time. The nudges keep our team focused.”
Mavi JeansShopify Plus · Apparel
“The predictive forecasting helped us understand our sales cycles and plan inventory accordingly. We no longer guess - we know where we're headed.”
Nostalgicbulbs.comDTC · Lighting
Set a goal this morning. Track it tomorrow.
Install free on Shopify. Your first forecast is ready as soon as the backfill finishes.
60-second install · 14 days free · No card, no auto-charge